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From Bath to Bucha: taking supplies to the front line

Posted on by prateek

We never truly know how we will cope with adversity until it happens. We all have equally valid ways of processing the atrocities that unfold on a daily basis in Ukraine; some of us protect ourselves from the news, some become consumed by it, whilst others feel compelled to act.
When Joseph, a tenant of ours living in Bath, told me about his response to the Ukraine crisis, I felt compelled to share it. He is a brave and generous man, and his efforts deserve recognition and support.

In his own words and pictures…

“I’ve been volunteering in Ukraine a lot over the past month.

“I have completed 2 deliveries of high quality front line medical equipment to Ukraine, where it reaches the frontlines, field hospitals and medics on the ground within 48 hours of me delivering it (I load up my van and drive it there myself, 3,500 miles there and back).

“I’m taking tourniquets, burn dressings, all different kinds of bandages including compression bandages and haemostatic gauze, catheter for chest decompression as well as humanitarian aid mainly for children, which I have distributed personally and have contacts within Lviv train station refugee camp, where up to 400,000 have been helped since the war. The second lot of humanitarian aid I hand delivered to Bucha Children’s Clinic with the help of the Mayor of Bucha, who I am also still in personal contact with. I was also one of the first to get aid into Bucha after it was liberated from the Russians. I plan on continuing to do this, thanks to the contacts I have made on my previous trips linking me up with the right people.

“I have also met with the heads of department at Kyiv’s main hospital, a Member of Parliament in Ukraine, a guy from the Ukranian MoD and a commander in the Ukranian Special Forces, so I have an in depth understanding of what is needed and in short supply on the ground.

“Thanks to my contacts at The Bath Clinic (a private hospital), the RUH and Exeter hospital, I find myself in the unique position of being able to get these people exactly what they need,  quickly and directly into the hands of people who need it most. It just costs a bit of money and a bit of my time!

“I’m working alongside 2 non-profit Ukranian organisations, Public Trust (our fixers) and the Angels of War Foundation (who drive our kit into the front, into the hotspots). More information on these guys and links to their pages can be found on my fundraising page: https://www.justgiving.com/crowdfunding/bathlovesukraine

“So far I have fundraised £2,700 to cover costs, had almost £10,000 in kit donated and have recently got the backing from the restaurant chain Turtle Bay, where next week they will be launching a Ukraine themed cocktail and donate 50p for each one sold to my fund.”

If you wish to support Joseph’s work in Ukraine, and can afford to do so, you can find his fundraising page here: https://www.justgiving.com/crowdfunding/bathlovesukraine

Bath Rental Market Review: March 2022

Posted on by prateek

Everything you need to know about the Bath rental market in March 2022.

Reside General Manager Toby Martin summarises rental activity over the last month, with the latest facts and figures from the local market.

Reside is an award-winning independent letting agent in Bath. Please get in touch if you would like to discuss any aspect of letting or managing your property; we would love to hear from you.

1 in 4 Bath Homeowners Unable To Sell

Posted on by prateek

  • The average time to find a buyer for a Bath property reduced from 72 days in 2020 to 66 days in 2021.
  • Yet just over 1 in 4 Bath homeowners are still on the market after 12 weeks.
  • Why are so many Bath homes still on the market after all that time, and what does it mean for the Bath property market?

If you had been living in a cave since the end of Lockdown No. 1, you might have still heard that the property market has been on fire in Bath (and the UK as a whole) for the last 18/20 months.

It has been very much a seller’s market, especially in 2021. Yet as we enter the second quarter of 2022, I have noticed a slight rebalancing of the Bath property market towards buyers, something that is good news for everyone (sellers and buyers) locally.

In 2020, it took on average 72 days from the average Bath property appearing on the property portals (i.e. Rightmove, Zoopla etc.) to the property going sold (STC).

Interestingly, Bath was bang on the national average of 72 days in 2020. Yet, last year, this was reduced to 66 days in Bath (51 days nationally).

Well, that was last year, and things have changed slightly since.

Of the properties for sale in Bath, 26.6% of houses have been on the market for more than 12 weeks.

That doesn’t sound a lot, yet that is an eternity in this market!

So, why are there so many properties on the market in Bath still for sale after all this time? It usually comes down to one thing… the practice of ‘overvaluing’.

So before I explain what overvaluing is, let me give you some background.

Many agents in 2021, were achieving top prices for Bath property with multiple offers becoming the standard. The property they were selling was only available to buy for days before the owner obtained multiple offers that were not only at a satisfactory level, but more than they ever dreamed likely.

Although this was great news for Bath homeowners, this caused fewer homes to come onto the market in the last six months in Bath, as people were afraid to put their home on the market without having a property to buy.

With fewer properties coming onto the market, some estate agents have become more and more desperate to get a larger slice of this smaller property market. It has seen an unwelcome side of the estate agency profession, the estate agency practice of ‘overvaluing’.

While ‘overvaluing’ is nothing new, the custom has been generally limited to a small number of estate agents. Yet now, it’s become more prevalent and creates uncountable distress and pressure for some Bath homeowners.

Many Bath homeowners want to sell quickly to get the property of their dreams. Yet, in many cases, when they do put their property on to the market, they don’t sell quickly enough because of this ‘overvaluing’ (even with the fantastic current property market conditions).

To give you an idea of the issue …

65.8% of Bath homes put on the market in the last 30 days have not sold.

There are hundreds of Bath families having their dreams dashed by ‘overvaluing’.

Therefore, let me look at exactly what overvaluing is, why it’s on the rise and most importantly, the harm overvaluing causes to homeowners like yourself.

You would think the most important thing in estate agency is all about finding the best buyer for your home, at the best price, who can make the move with the least amount of hassle.

To us it is, and to many other Bath estate agents, it is as well. Yet, to some agents, sales aren’t the essential objective. Instead, it is having a vigorous catalogue of properties to sell to generate more future leads.

Deprived of an endless number of new properties for sale, the enquiries estate agents receive will significantly drop, leaving them high and dry without any buyer (or seller) leads, the lifeblood of estate agents.

Therefore, some (not all) estate agents will feed on a homeowner’s appetite to get the highest possible price for their Bath home by giving them an over-inflated suggested asking price at which to market their property (i.e. ‘overvaluing’).

If one estate agent can get you an extra £30,000 for your Bath home, you will take it, won’t you?

The suggestion of pushing the asking price of your Bath home up by 10%, 15%, even 20% could be seen by many as a temptation too good to miss. Yet once you are on the market, the agent is trained to slowly get you to reduce your asking price over a lengthy sole agency agreement.

The problem is that the home of your dreams might have sold during the 3 months in which you have been reducing your price. Also, Which? reports in 2017 and 2019 proved you ended up getting less for your home when it did eventually sell (which means you lose money) and finally, the agents know homeowners perceive that it’s a hassle to swap agents (which it isn’t).

But estate agents only get paid when they sell the house; why do they overvalue?

Would it surprise you that some estate agency chains pay their staff a commission when they put the property on to the market, not when it sells? So, their team overinflate their suggested asking prices to get that commission.

Over the last 18 months, with the rising property market, there has undoubtedly been a valid reason for pushing the envelope on the asking price. Yet, if every house like yours is on the market or sold subject to contract at £300,000 to £320,000, yours isn’t going to achieve £355,000, let alone £375,000 – even in this market.

With 65.8% of Bath homes still for sale after a month, the market is starting to level out and if you are keen to sell, then let me give you some advice.

Beware the same practice from lettings agents

Nearly everything I’ve written in this article similarly applies to getting your property valued by a lettings agent. Many agencies secure instructions by quoting a high rental figure and tying their client into a lengthy sole agency period.

A couple of weeks later, the landlord will receive a phone call from their agent, saying that they must ‘listen to the market’ and reduce the advertised rent.

The landlord will eventually find their tenant, but weeks later than they should have done, and with an agency that was prepared to secure their business by deliberately overpricing.

Research has shown that if the asking price is initially set too high, it will be ignored by people surfing Rightmove and Zoopla.

(Come on, be honest – you have done that yourself haven’t you?)

When the property is eventually reduced because it has the stigma of being on the property market too long (begging the question from potential buyers or tenants that there may be a problem with the property itself hence no interest?), often when it does eventually let or sell, the owner will achieve less than it would have done if it were priced correctly from day one (as per the two reports from Which? in 2017 and 2019).

Of course, on the other hand, setting the asking price below its market value means potentially leaving money on the table needlessly – hence the need for a good agent.

Putting your Bath home or buy-to-let investment on the market at the right price from the beginning is the key to selling within the best time frame and for the best price to a serious and motivated buyer / tenant.

Ask a handful of estate agents to value your home, ask them to back up any valuation of your Bath home with cold hard comparables of similar properties to yours – ideally, properties that have actually sold, rather than ones that are languishing on the market at a high asking price.

Find your own comparables by searching ALL the property portals (i.e. Rightmove, Zoopla, Boomin, OnTheMarket).

If you only take away one thing from this article, when you search the portals for comparables, make sure you include under offer/sold STC properties, as that will triple the comparable evidence.

Thus, by doing your homework and then working with a dependable, trustworthy and experienced estate agent, who will help to ensure that your Bath property is put on the market to get you, the homeowner, the best price from day one without overcooking it so you don’t lose out, you will be just fine.

These are my thoughts, let me know if you have any yourself.

Reside is an award-winning independent letting agent in Bath. Please get in touch if you would like to discuss any aspect of letting or managing your property; we would love to hear from you.

How Will Rising Inflation Affect the Bath Property Market in 2022?

Posted on by prateek

The UK is currently experiencing its highest inflation rate since the early 1990s. This increase in prices has primarily come about by the combination of an increase in demand for goods and services from consumers following lockdown last year together with global supply chain disruptions.

Most economists weren’t too concerned about this increase in the inflation rate as the very same thing happened in the early 1990s following the Credit Crunch with a similar rise in demand and supply chain issues. Thankfully, back in the early 1990s, inflation returned to lower levels quite quickly. However, the situation in Eastern Europe now could change matters.

So, let’s look at all the factors and what it means for the Bath property market.

The crisis in Eastern Europe has sparked even further rises in crude oil (which diesel and petrol are made from), gas and grain prices as pressure on supply chains around the world increases.

In my previous articles, I suggested UK inflation would rise to around 7% in the spring and drop back to 5% in the autumn and as we entered 2023, be approximately 3% to 4%.

Yet, with these issues, inflation could rise to 8% to 9% by late spring and still be around 6% to 7% in autumn, well above the Bank of England’s target of 2%.

With Bath wages rising at only 3% to 4% and inflation at 7%+, Bath household incomes, in real terms, will fall.

This is because ‘real’ UK household incomes characteristically have been the most consistent lead indicator of growth (or a drop) in house prices. This is because growing inflation erodes the value of money you earn, which reduces its buying power. When the cash in your pocket has a lower spending power, people tend to spend less when they buy or rent a home (and vice versa).

Next month, Income Tax thresholds will be frozen, and National Insurance contributions are increasing. Collectively, all these issues will create a drop of around 2% to 2.5% in the real disposable income of Britain’s households in 2022 (real disposable income – i.e. somebody’s take-home wages after tax and the effects of inflation are considered).

Will Bathonians be more anxious about spending their money?

With less money in people’s pockets, their inclination to spend the money they do have could also be curtailed. Whilst savings are at an all-time high, many will decide to sit on the cash instead of spending it, especially as consumer confidence has dropped to minus 26 on the GfK index (whatever that means! But in all seriousness… more on that below).

All this can only mean… there is going to be a house price crash.

It’s all doom and gloom! …or is it?

My heart goes out to people caught up in the awful humanitarian crisis in Eastern Europe. For the purposes of this article, however, I need to respectfully put that to one side for just a moment.

This blog is about the Bath property market, and Bathonians want to know what will happen to the Bath property market.

In the first half of the article, I looked at the impending 2 to 2.5% fall in real disposable incomes during 2022. I appreciate it’s going to be tough for many families in Bath. Yet, it is always important to consider what has happened in times gone by:

1982 – a drop of 2.3% in real disposable income
1992 – a drop of 3.7% in real disposable income
2008 – a drop of 5.8% in real disposable income

Yes, it’s going to be tough, but we got through 1982, 1992 and 2008 – and so we shall in 2022/23.

Next: the price of petrol is very high compared to a year ago.

The average price of unleaded petrol is £1.51/litre today, quite a jump from the £1.21/litre a year ago. But here is an interesting fact, petrol was a lot more expensive (in real terms) in 2011 than today. In TODAY’s money, a litre of unleaded petrol in 2011 would be the equivalent of £1.79/litre. We have some way to go before we get to those levels – and again, the Bath economy (and property market) kicked on quite nicely after 2011.

What are Bath people spending on their rent and mortgages?

Click to view full-size image

In 2015, owner occupiers were spending on average 17.3% of their household income on mortgages, yet in 2021 this had risen, albeit to 17.7% – not a huge increase.

Council (social) tenants have seen a drop in their rent from 29.2% of their household income in 2015 to 26.7% in 2021, whilst for private tenants it has dropped from from 36.4% in 2015 to 31.2% in 2021.

Interestingly, private tenants are proportionally 14.29% better off in 2021 than in 2015.

The average UK home spent 4.2% of their household income on energy in 2021, and that is due to rise to 6.3% after April (and probably 7% in October). Yet, as a country, we spend 9% of our income on restaurants and hotels and 8% on recreation and culture. As with all aspects of life, it will mean choices, and maybe we will have to forego some luxuries.

Just before I move on from this aspect of the article, again I appreciate I am talking in averages. Many people with low incomes suffer from fuel poverty and they will find the increases in energy prices hard.

Higher inflation is generally brought under control using higher interest rates, meaning mortgage payments will be higher.

79% of homeowners with a mortgage are on a fixed rate, so any rise won’t be instantaneous. But there will be a bizarre side effect from the issues in Eastern Europe. Surprisingly, though the current situation in Eastern Europe by its very nature will bring greater UK inflation, it will also probably defer the Bank of England raising interest rates. This means mortgage rates won’t increase as much, as the bank won’t want to exacerbate any pressures to the UK economy in 2023/24 caused by the conflict.

The stock market had priced an interest rate rise to 2% by the end of 2022. I suspect this will now be no more than 1% to 1.25% by Christmas, slowly going up in quarters of one per cent every few months. The crisis in Eastern Europe might even come to be seen as a defence for higher inflation throughout 2022, all meaning everyone’s mortgage increases will be marginal for now.

Next, let’s look at Consumer Confidence Indexes – these indexes are fickle things. I prefer to look at the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development Consumer Confidence Index as it has a larger sample range and a longer time frame to compare against. Looking at the data from the mid 1970s, the drop in consumer confidence is big, yet nothing like the drops seen in the Oil Crisis of the mid 1970s, Recession of the early 1980s, ERM crisis of 1992 and the Global Financial Crisis of 2008/09. Also, when compared to the other main economies of the world (G7), the UK has always bounced back much more quickly from recessions when it comes to consumer confidence.

Click to view full-size image

What about house prices in Bath in 2022/23?

Increasing energy prices, rising inflation, an increase of sanctions, and a probable drop in consumer confidence and spending in the aftermath of the conflict will knock the post-pandemic recovery globally, which will lead to a recession around the world, including the UK.

A recession is when a country’s GDP drops in two consecutive quarters. For the last 300 years, there has been a direct link between British house prices and GDP (i.e. when GDP drops, UK house prices fall). Yet in 2020, the British GDP dropped by nearly 12%, but house prices went the other way.

Let’s look at what would happen if Bath house prices did drop by the same extent they did in the Global Financial Crisis of 2008/09.

House prices in Bath dropped by 17.2% in the Global Financial Crisis, the biggest drop in house prices over 16 months ever recorded in the UK.

The average value of a property in Bath and North East Somerset today is £399,981.

Meaning that if Bath’s house prices dropped by the same percentage in the next 16 months, an average home locally would only be worth £331,184.

On the face of it, not good… until you realise that it would only take us back to Bath house prices being achieved in February 2020 – and nobody was complaining about those.

Yes, that means if they do drop in price, the 5.7% of Bath homeowners who moved home since February 2020 would lose out if they sold after that price crash. But how many people move home after only being in their home for a few years? Not many!

The simple fact is that 94.3% of Bath homeowners will still be better off when they move if house prices crash.

And all this assumes there will be a crash.

The circumstances of 2009 that caused the property crash are entirely different to 2022 (no lending by the banks, higher interest rates and increasing unemployment compared to today’s increased lending, ultra-low interest rates and low unemployment).

I do believe with all that’s happening in the world we might see a rebalancing of the Bath property market later in 2022, and could see the odd month with little negative growth in house prices… But it will be nothing like 2009.

The expected fall in household spending could be counterbalanced by UK businesses’ plans to invest more in their businesses (with last year’s tax breaks on investing), which will create even more jobs.

Who knows what the future holds? These are just my opinions – what are yours?

Reside is an award-winning independent letting agent in Bath. Please get in touch if you would like to discuss any aspect of letting or managing your property; we would love to hear from you.

Bath Rental Market Review: February 2022

Posted on by prateek

Everything you need to know about the Bath rental market in February 2022.

Reside General Manager Toby Martin summarises rental activity over the last month, with the latest facts and figures from the local market.

Reside is an award-winning independent letting agent in Bath. Please get in touch if you would like to discuss any aspect of letting or managing your property; we would love to hear from you.

Why Are There So Few Bath Homes For Sale?

Posted on by prateek

  • 52% drop in the number of properties for sale in Bath in the last 12 months.
  • 402 Bath homes have sold (stc) in the last three months alone, taking the time from the ‘for sale board’ going up to sale agreed to a median of 42 days.
  • The £200k to £300k price range in Bath is the most active, where it only takes 36 days to sale agreed, but the over £1m price range is taking 82 days.
  • Yet, what issues cause Bathonians to want to move home and what can people wanting to move in 2022 do to ensure they sell and find the home of their dreams?

There are 322 properties for sale today in Bath; roll the clock back exactly a year, and the figure was 676 – there’s been a drop of 52%. This drop is being dubbed the ‘for sale board crunch’.

The ‘for sale board crunch’ has left many prospective Bath home buyers stressing to find the right property as the number of properties available to buy has dropped significantly.

I am sure you know people looking for their next Bath home, but when they see it on the portals (Rightmove, Zoopla, Boomin, OnTheMarket, etc.) the properties are gone within days.

With demand at an all-time high, many home buyers are in a state of misery as Bath house prices have grown in the last few years, forcing many of them to review their plans.

They are victims of the ‘for sale board crunch’ in the Bath property market, the likes of which have not been seen since 2007.

Normally when there has been excess demand in the residential sales market, that frothiness has been taken care of by people moving into rented accommodation. However, the number of Bath properties available to rent is at a 15-year low.

So why is the Bath property market this way?

Demand for Bath homes has exceeded the number of properties for sale since the General Election in December 2019. After years of long drawn-out Brexit negotiations, homeowners and buyers were more confident about their move. Many Bath people who put their home move on hold in 2018/19 had more confidence to return to the market.

The first lockdown in the spring of 2020 did nothing to quell this pent-up urge, and since the late spring of 2020, the Bath property market has been on fire! The lockdown changed what homeowners are looking for in their Bath home. Proximity to public transport dropped down the wish list for buyers, and demand for apartments dropped. Whilst properties with larger gardens and rooms that could double up as home offices tended to be at the top of most Bath buyers’ wish lists.

Around 36% more Bath properties have sold in the last 18 months than the long-term 20-year average.

Looking at the supply side of the equation, in the last five years, an average of 204,410 new homes per year have been added to the number of properties available in the UK. Also, 239,600 properties came back into the market when they became available after their owners had sadly passed away. Yet still, that isn’t enough. The country needs at least 300,000 new dwellings to keep pace with demand.

There is also another problem that has come to light with the cladding issue of apartments. Just over ¾ of a million apartments have issues with cladding. Whilst these are being sorted out (which will take many years), they are essentially unsaleable unless a fire safety expert on these buildings signs them as safe.

These cladding issues prevent these apartments from coming onto the market (thus reducing the supply of properties to buy). It also precludes their owners from moving up the property ladder from their apartment to a house. Also, many first-time buyers who can save a bigger deposit or be gifted cash from the Bank of Mum and Dad are skipping the apartment as their first home and going straight for a house, thus intensifying the lack of larger properties for sale.

So, how long does it take to sell a Bath property now?

Bath Apartments – 80 days

Bath Terraced/Town House – 19 days

Bath Semi-Detached – 27 days

Bath Detached – 37 days

This means it is a seller’s market in Bath, empowering them to push up their asking prices in high demand areas. However, most sellers are also buyers, which means the advantage they have on selling their property is turned on its head when they come to buy.

Many Bath sellers prefer to find their future Bath home before putting their current home on the market. That is making the lack of properties on the market seem even harsher than it may otherwise be.

The ‘for sale board crunch’ would be somewhat eased if Bath sellers put their property onto the market whilst they were hunting for their next ‘forever home’.

However, not all Bath homeowners are doing so, partially because they (wrongly) believe they will be made homeless if they find a buyer and can’t find another property to buy (remember, you are not legally committed to moving until exchange of contracts).

A big issue will be finding a suitable home in Bath. We very much have a chicken and egg scenario. Some homeowners are waiting for the right property to come onto the market before they put their home on the market. This will probably mean that their property will sell even before the photographs have been taken of your home.

Yet, many Bath homeowners are worried if they put their house on the market and it sells, they won’t be able to find another suitable home and thus be homeless.

Classic chicken and egg – so what do you do first?

There is another way of doing this. It’s a technique estate agents used to use before the internet, and it’s called ‘chain building’, which involves slowly building a group of people in a chain over many months. It requires a lot of patience to build a chain downwards and upwards around you.

There is no cost to this and no legal commitment to go through. It can take six, even twelve months to build a chain of people who are prepared to wait for the chain to form.

Yet, everyone normally gets their next ‘forever home’ by playing this long game.

Because if you don’t play the long game, build relationships with Bath estate agents (who can build these chains) and only rely on waiting for properties to appear on Rightmove, Boomin, OnTheMarket or Zoopla, you will be sorely disappointed.

According to national research from Denton House Research, 7 out of 8 people who viewed a house through an estate agent in 2021 were not on the mailing list of that agent before they viewed it.

That means all these Bath properties built on a chain builder (as above) will sell, yet won’t appear on Rightmove or Zoopla, meaning you will miss out.

You must get yourself on the mailing list of every estate agency so you don’t miss out on your next forever home in Bath.

If you would like a chat about anything mentioned in this article, feel free to drop me a message or call me.

Reside is an award-winning independent letting agent in Bath. Please get in touch if you would like to discuss any aspect of letting or managing your property; we would love to hear from you.

What Bath Landlords Need To Know About The Government’s ‘Levelling Up’ White Paper

Posted on by prateek

  • Some Bath landlords could face bills of between £11,000 to £14,000 as Michael Gove, the Housing Minister, declared an attack on poor quality private rental homes.
  • 2,114 Bath rental properties could require upgrading. The Government announced in their ‘Levelling Up’ White Paper last week, they plan to introduce a new minimum standard for private rental properties.
  • Also, the White Paper wants every landlord in Bath (9,075 of you) to go on a Landlord Register and proposes the removal of Section 21 no-fault evictions.

But despite what some might think, these proposed changes are not another nail in the buy-to-let coffin for Bath landlords. Here is why…

On the face of it, yes, it could be seen as another attack on the humble Bath landlord, having to spend money on their properties and get tangled up with red tape on a register and then having no-fault evictions removed.

Yet, as always, the devil is in the detail…

This ‘Levelling Up Bill’ is a White Paper. White Papers are policy documents created by the existing Government that set out their future proposals for legislation. Many White Papers don’t even make it to the House of Commons to be debated on, and even then, it needs to be voted on by both Houses of Parliament before becoming law. Any changes are at least two or three years away, and that’s assuming it gets debated and subsequently approved.

Many have said the White Paper is supposed to lay out how to resolve the problem of rebalancing the UK economy that is suffering from the highest level of regional inequality than any G8 country. This is a gargantuan challenge…

Yet the Levelling Up White Paper reads very much like a shopping list of great ideas without the means to pay for it.

One of the 12 points in the White Paper was focusing on housing, with a plan to introduce a new minimum standard for rental properties, a landlord register and the removal of no-fault evictions (as an aside, there was also a mention of a possible reintroduction of Home Information Packs – remember those from 2009!).

So, what does this mean for the landlords of the 9,075 private rental properties in Bath?

Sub Standard Rental Properties

The proposed changes will mean rental homes in the private sector will have to meet two specific standards that the existing 6,848 social housing homes in Bath currently need to meet.

The first is called the ‘Decent Homes Standard’ (DHS) and the second, the Housing, Health and Safety Rating System (HHSRS) evaluation.

Looking at data from the Government, there are 2,114 private rental properties in Bath that are considered substandard under these two measures and each one would cost between £11,000 and £14,000 to bring up to the prescribed standard. That means…

The estimated total cost to improve the 2,114 Bath properties, that are considered substandard, could be as high as £29,602,650.

Yet both systems of standards (DHS & HHSRS) have been slated by many (even by the Government itself).

The DHS criteria for the standard are as follows:

  1. It must meet the current statutory minimum standard for housing
  2. It must be in a reasonable state of repair
  3. It must have reasonably modern facilities and services
  4. It must provide a reasonable degree of thermal comfort

Note how the word ‘reasonable’ is used in three of the four points of the DHS. Reasonable is an arbitrary and very much subjective point of view. It screams loopholes and get out clauses to me.

Looking at the HHSRS, the Government announced just before the pandemic in June 2019 that the HHSRS would be revamped after it was found to be ‘complicated and inefficient to use’.

Putting aside how one measures the standards, it is a simple fact that there are many Bath rental properties that are substandard. I believe it right the Government have an ambition to halve the number of sub-standard private rentals by 2030. However, would it surprise you that…

In 2006, 46.7% of private rented homes in the UK were classed as substandard and today that has reduced, without any legislation, to 23.3%. One must ask if new legislation is now required?

Also, if you recall in an article I wrote recently (drop me line if you would like me to send it to you), Bath landlords could be faced with bringing their properties up to an energy rating (EPC) of C between 2026 and 2028 in legislation already proposed.

Most of the works to meet that EPC rating requirement will be the same works to meet this new DHS and HHSRS. Also, in that article, I discussed how the Government have suggested that certain allowances will be made for landlords on rental properties that can’t be improved – such as Listed properties.

So, I think Bath landlords should sit tight and let the Government shine more light on this in the coming months before any knee jerk reactions are made.

Landlord Register

To be honest, there are several city/borough registers around the UK for landlords. Experience has shown they seem to add an extra level of bureaucracy and red tape. The register would be for every Bath buy-to-let landlord and rogue landlords would be struck off whilst allowing tenants new redress rights. Another reason to employ the services of a letting agent to sort!

End of No-fault Evictions

Again, I spoke about this a few weeks ago with the proposed removal of Section 21 to evict a tenant (again, if you want a copy, drop me a line). If you recall, I stated that no-fault evictions were removed in Scotland over four years ago and the apocalyptic suggestions it would kill the rental market for Scottish landlords was not forthcoming. Now of course, the Scots strengthened the other grounds to evict a tenant. If the Government strengthen the Section 8 legislation, again, I cannot see this being an issue south of the border. Time will tell once the Government put more meat on the bones of the White Paper.

Conclusion

Many of the announcements made in the Levelling Up White Paper are re-hashed proposed legislation that has been on the books for the last couple of years.

This White Paper is not another nail in the coffin of buy-to-let in Bath.

Yet, many commentators have cautioned that more landlords with substandard homes will sell up because of these proposed changes, warning the sell up would add to the private rental sector’s shortage of homes, thus pushing up rents.

If that was true, that would increase rental returns on Bath buy-to-let and attract more Bath landlords into the sector, wouldn’t it?

But if you don’t agree other Bath landlords will buy these rental properties that other landlords are selling, who will buy their Bath properties from them? It will be Bath renters, who are now able to buy because the price has come down, meaning equilibrium should return to the market.

This is all theoretical and there are shortages/gluts in specific locations. Let us not forget it was 12/18 months ago that rents were dropped by double digit percentage points in the space of a couple of months in the big cities. Those rent drops weren’t anything to do with landlords buying up City Centre rental properties, but demand plummeted with 20-something tenants moving back in with their parents during the first lockdown and the months that followed. Yet, now rents have bounced back to pre-pandemic levels (and more) with the return of tenants to the cities.

In a nutshell, if Bath landlords do end up selling in their droves (which they won’t), yet if they do, those Bath properties will still exist.

Few of them will be left empty because most of them will be bought by other Bath landlords as they will be attracted to the sector as inflation takes hold whilst others will be bought by first-time buyers.

What goes around, comes around. So, let’s see what happens in the coming months. In the meantime, if you’re a Bath landlord and you want to discuss anything in this article, please either drop me a line or send me an email.

Reside is an award-winning independent letting agent in Bath. Please get in touch if you would like to discuss any aspect of letting or managing your property; we would love to hear from you.

Bath Rental Market Review: January 2022

Posted on by prateek

Everything you need to know about the Bath rental market in January 2022. This month: just how bad is the Bath property shortage?

Tenant demand has far exceeded property supply for the last 12 months, but just what is the extent of this property shortage? As Reside’s Toby Martin discusses in the above video, the number of rental properties on the market at any one time is currently 35-40% below the average for the last decade.

This month’s round-up also includes news of upcoming smoke and carbon monoxide alarm regulations that landlords should be aware of. Be sure to watch the video for full details.

Reside is an award-winning independent letting agent in Bath. Please get in touch if you would like to discuss any aspect of letting or managing your property; we would love to hear from you.

The Average Bath Homeowner Pocketed £354k in the Last 20 Years

Posted on by prateek

  • The average house price in Bath has increased by 195.9% to £535,700 in the last 20 years, a profit of £354,650
  • That means, when adjusted for inflation in those two decades, Bath house prices have risen in real terms by 123.8%
  • What does this mean for existing Bath homeowners and first-time buyers trying to get on the Bath property ladder?

Since 2001, average UK house prices have risen by an astonishing 187.2% across the UK, while in London the figure is 247.6%.

Looking back at the people that bought in those first few years of the new Millennium, few of those buying or selling property in 2001 could have forecast the massive financial impact that their decision then would have on the rest of their lives.

In those years, there have been winners and losers, where some Bath buyers have made hundreds of thousands of pounds and Bath renters have paid out tens of thousands of pounds and yet been unable to buy their first home – but life is often not as simple as that, so in this article I wanted to discuss the matter further.

The average house price in Bath has increased by 195.9% to £535,700 in the last 20 years, a profit of £354,650.

Now of course these are average prices and don’t take inflation into consideration.

Yet even when adjusted for inflation, Bath house prices have still risen by 123.8% in the last 20 years.

Characteristically, the longer a homeowner has owned their property, the larger the gain when they sell. Yet most of these profits are never seen by Bath homeowners. It has never been money in the bank unless you sell up and downsize or move somewhere cheaper. Instead, these gains are re-invested back into the housing market when they buy their next home.

So, whether the gains are banked or tied up in their bricks and mortar, it looks like all the Bath homeowners are in the driving seat.

What about all the first-time buyers, priced out of the market and unable to get on to the property ladder?

Are the young of Bath losing out again?

Reading the newspapers you would think so, yet nothing could be further from the truth. In fact…

It’s 26.8% cheaper today to buy a house in Bath compared to 2007

(That isn’t a typo!)

In 2002, 28.3% of a first-time buyer’s household income went on the mortgage payments. Today, that figure stands at 37.3%, yet in 2007, it was 51%… hence why it’s cheaper today!

Of course, for most young potential first-time buyers, the other largest barrier to home ownership is the matter of raising an adequate deposit.

Rising rents (and future energy prices) won’t help and will in fact make this problem worse, giving ambitious first-time buyers not much left at the end of the month to save a deposit for their first home.

With soaring Bath house prices, this means the amount Bath renters need to save for their deposit is growing year on year.

For these annoyed renters, there is the unpleasant irony that if they could only get on the Bath housing ladder, they would find themselves better off. They would spend a lower proportion of their monthly take home pay on keeping a roof over their heads.

Some people in the press have suggested the older generation, with all the equity tied up in their homes over the last 20 years, should release some of the money and give it to their children or grandchildren to help them on the ladder.

Reports in the press have also said that many homeowners aged 60+ have changed their plans to move home. Many were planning to downsize to release the tied-up equity in their home. That equity would either be used to invest in the bank to produce an income for them and/or to help their children (sometimes even grandchildren) on to the property ladder.

Yet with the interest paid by banks and building societies on any lump sum being very low, to many mature homeowners it hardly seems worthwhile making the move to downsize. This means many younger would-be first-time buyers are missing out on help from the Bank of Mum and Dad (or the Bank of Grandma and Grandpa) with their deposit.

However, the problems caused by low interest rates could also be their saviour.

Many older homeowners have turned to Equity Release, thus allowing them to get hold of a share of the equity amassed in their property, in exchange for a tax-free lump sum of cash.

Cash that could be used to help with deposits for their children/grandchildren?

The mature homeowner then stays in their larger family home and helps their family buy a property.

Whilst I am not a mortgage adviser (and you must take proper advice from a qualified mortgage broker), equity release mortgages don’t have end dates and the interest payments are rolled up (until you pass away). This means that there aren’t any monthly payments.

The interest rate you pay is normally fixed for the mortgage and because interest rates are so low, that means the debt shouldn’t balloon up. And should you decide to sell in a few years’ time, you just pay back the capital, redemption fee and the small amount of interest accrued.

Now of course, that does mean there will be less for your offspring to inherit when you pass away.

Equity release mortgages though have had some bad press recently. In the past they were unregulated and pricey. Yet today, there is more protection for borrowers.

One answer to the growing interest debt is to pay part or all of the monthly mortgage interest charged, yet you must have the income for that.

You also need to take advice on how the equity release will affect your liability for nursing home fees and inheritance tax. Also, if only one person in your home is the owner of the property, if that homeowner dies, the partner who is not on the mortgage (because only owners can go on a mortgage) won’t have any rights to stay in the family home.

Finally, if you are planning to move, don’t just compare the interest rate, but the redemption charge for early repayment – some of them can be very high.

My advice – take professional advice and speak to your family and involve them. Yes, we have all built up some amazing equity in our Bath homes, and yes, there is potential to help the younger generations with that wealth. Just go in with eyes open and know all the facts, all the pros and all the cons – then decide what is best for you with all that information to hand.

What are your thoughts, as a mature Bath homeowner or a first-time buyer, on this? It would be good to hear from you.

Reside is an award-winning independent letting agent in Bath. Please get in touch if you would like to discuss any aspect of letting or managing your property; we would love to hear from you.