Bath Landlord Conference: Insights, Updates, and Networking

Bath recently played host to an enlightening and insightful gathering for landlords, the Bath Landlord Conference, held at the prestigious Francis Hotel on 22nd November 2023. This event, spearheaded by Reside director and ARLA Propertymark Regional Executive Toby Martin, was an essential evening for landlords seeking to navigate the evolving landscape of property regulations and investment strategies.

The conference commenced with Toby Martin’s comprehensive overview of the local market, providing attendees with a concise summary of recent landlord regulations. These insights were crucial, particularly in light of the recent changes reshaping the landlord-tenant relationship.

Reside director Toby Martin addresses the Bath Landlord Conference

A notable highlight of the event was Mike Hansom’s address. As a Consultant Solicitor at BLB Solicitors, Hansom delved into the intricacies of Section 8 evictions, a topic gaining prominence as Section 21 faces abolition under the Renters Reform Bill. His expertise demonstrated how tenancies will be ended by landlords in the future, offering clarity and understanding amidst the regulatory shifts.

Ellie Donaghy, a professional property investor, brought bundles of energy and passion to proceedings. Her invaluable insights and proven strategies for identifying and maximizing property investment opportunities left attendees inspired and equipped for success in their ventures.

The event, attended by approximately 40 local landlords, fostered an environment of learning and engagement, with many attendees remaining behind to network after the talks had finished.

Stay tuned for details on the next Bath Landlord Conference, set to be announced in the New Year. For landlords seeking to stay ahead in an ever-evolving market, future Bath Landlord Conferences are not to be missed.


Reside is an award-winning independent letting agent in Bath. Please get in touch if you would like to discuss any aspect of letting or managing your property; we would love to hear from you.

Is buy-to-let still profitable?

Rising interest rates, Section 24, EPC regulations… today we answer the question: can buy-to-let still be profitable?


Reside is an award-winning independent letting agent in Bath. Please get in touch if you would like to discuss any aspect of letting or managing your property; we would love to hear from you.

Bath’s Best Bits: Queen Square


The final episode in our ‘Masonic Trilogy’. First it was The Circus… then the Royal Crescent… and now Queen Square!


Reside is an award-winning independent letting agent in Bath. Please get in touch if you would like to discuss any aspect of letting or managing your property; we would love to hear from you.

We Are Hiring: Tenancy Manager

Join The Team!

We are looking for a motivated, approachable and conscientious Tenancy Manager to lead our busy property management team, overseeing our managed property portfolio. This is a varied and rewarding role, with support for professional development by obtaining an industry qualification.

In this role, you will:

  • Manage a busy back office team
  • Instruct or delegate property maintenance when required and manage repairs through to completion
  • Liaise with tenants and landlords, providing updates of maintenance jobs
  • Managing contractor invoices and allocating accordingly
  • Monitor our CRM database to ensure all properties are compliant, instructing and issuing certificates where necessary
  • Record or delegate property inventories, recording condition and meter readings
  • Carry out mid-term and end of tenancy check out inspections, and agree deposit deductions where necessary
  • Reviewing rents and negotiating renewals
  • Issuing notices
  • Managing utility accounts
  • Perform general office duties including filing, scanning, and typing

Requirements:

  • A compassionate and approachable manner, with the ability to form a good rapport with our clients
  • You can command a busy workload, offering and accepting support from your colleagues
  • Confident computer user, especially MS Office
  • A clean full UK driving licence

Benefits:

  • Salary from £28-32,000 per annum, based on your experience
  • Training and support in obtaining an industry qualification
  • 20 days’ annual leave, plus public holidays
  • Headspace account to encourage a healthy and mindful approach to you work

To find out more about this position, or to apply, please contact Ben Bower – ben@localhost / 01225 445777.


Reside is an independent, award-winning letting agent whose innovative, ethical and successful service is highly praised by its tenants and landlords.

Amazing Property Transformation – Before & After Pics

One of our landlords recently completed a refurb on a cottage that has been used as a workshop / storage space since the 70s, and had fallen into disrepair. I have to share the before & after pics with you – it’s a real success story! They have done such a complete job of turning the property into a modern, stylish home, and it was a complete joy to find a new tenant for them.

In their own words: “As you will see, the renovations really have been a labour of love! Willow Tree Cottage was originally a home with the most recent known tenant being a Mr Cheeseman, in the 1960s, we think. From around the 1970s, the cottage was used as a garage, workshop and storage rooms. It was very run down when we bought the place. Now we have undertaken the job of turning it back into a warm, inviting and comfortable home again.

“Every part of the house, from the roof down, has been painstakingly repaired, restored or replaced. This included full reconstruction of the roof, new windows, putting in water and electricity connections where there previously were none, new heating and hot water systems, two new bathrooms and a kitchen, replastering including repairing the original lime plaster in many places, full redecoration using specialist paints in Farrow & Ball colours, repointing of the original stonework, structurally reinforcing the old floors, replacing old, rotten lintels. You name it… we did it.

“Although the cottage is fortunately not Listed, our aim was always to enable it to be a comfortable home, with modern conveniences whilst still maintaining its character and beautiful period features such as the fire places, exposed stone walls and original quarry tiled and flagstone floors.

“To help make the cottage as energy efficient as possible, we included a 2.5kw solar pv installation, double glazing, state of the art individually thermostatically controlled clay core radiators, a solar heated water system (that stores excess energy from the solar PV not being used by the electrics in the cottage!) and lots of loft and roof insulation, to the standards of a new build house or above!”


Reside is an award-winning independent letting agent in Bath. Please get in touch if you would like to discuss any aspect of letting or managing your property; we would love to hear from you.

Has the Bath Property Market Peaked?

Should you buy now or wait for the bargains?

  • Many commentators believe we have seen the peak of the Bath property market.
  • So, should savvy bargain hunters wait for Bath house prices to fall?
  • Or could postponing your house buying for any anticipated price drop be a costly mistake?

Over the last two years, the Bath property market has been a rollercoaster ride of hyperactive demand together with the new sport of getting your offer accepted when you compete with 30 other bidders.

Yet there are clouds on the horizon that the Bath property market could be at its peak.

Bank of England interest rates have increased four times in the last few months to try and combat inflation. Meanwhile, many Bath households are finding it tough to counter the most significant drop in real incomes in a single year since records began in the mid-1950s, all at the same time as gas, oil and electricity prices are predicted to rise again in the autumn.

Hence why some economists are predicting house price drops in the coming 18 to 24 months of 3% to 5%.

So, surely this is not the best time to buy a Bath property – and surely savvy buyers should wait for Bath house values to fall?

Is it realistic to see double-digit national house price growth? Certainly not.

The question is how far the Bath property market will slow and whether the slowing will drop into modest falls.

Let me look at household income first.

At best, the outlook is gloomy as real household disposable income is set to drop by 2.4% in 2022/23, the largest drop since records began in 1956 this is despite the £17.6 billion of financial support for British households revealed in Rishi Sunak’s Spring 2022 Statement with the National Insurance thresholds, energy bill support package and duty cut on petrol. Without these changes announced by the Chancellor, real household disposable income would have fallen by an additional 1% in 2022/23.

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Secondly, as interest rates increase, mortgage rates will increase in line, increasing mortgage costs, so surely that will curtail demand, meaning Bath house prices will drop, and buyers should wait to catch a bargain?

Finally, with inflation on the rise, the real value of people’s savings will decrease quicker, and the value of their deposits will diminish meaning Bath prices will surely drop, and people should wait to buy?

Surely the Bath property market has peaked and buyers should wait for the bargains?

Well, I don’t think so.

I believe, subject to no significant shocks in the world economy, Bath house price growth will be very slow in the next 18/24 months and go into low single digits (even the odd month dipping ever so slightly into the red), but not the 16% to 19% annual drop we saw in 2008/9.

Let me look at real household income. Every economist predicts growth in real household income in 2023/24 by around 1%.

If the two years are combined, the predicted effect on real household income in the next two years (2022/23/24) is a net loss of 1.4%, whilst in the credit crunch years 2010/11/12, the net loss was 2.7%.

I was looking at the increase in mortgage rates. 79% of owner-occupiers have fixed their mortgage costs and had their affordability stress-tested to Bank of England interest rates of 3% to 4% under the Mortgage Market Review rule changes in 2014. I believe the most significant impact of increasing interest rates will be at the point of taking on a new mortgage by first-time buyers (as opposed to servicing or the porting of an existing mortgage from one house to the next house).

The four successive Bank of England base rate rises, inflation and the rising cost of living are likely to bring more cautiousness over summer and autumn when it comes to people buying a property. Yet, there is still a massive imbalance of demand for property over the number of properties for sale to quench that demand.

The potency of the job market and the ongoing mismatch between the supply of properties (mentioned in last week’s article on the Bath property market) on the market and demand for those properties will support property values.

Finally, the by-product of increasing inflation is that it makes buy-to-let more attractive. If there is a reduction in first-time buyers, this will be counterweighted by more landlords buying again, supporting the current level of Bath properties.

But what if Bath house prices do drop significantly?

So let’s assume that Bath house prices do fall, irrespective of the reasons above, it will not inevitably help Bath buyers.

If we have a house price crash, people tend to find their careers are at risk, and their salaries don’t rise as much. The younger generation (i.e. first-time buyers) often gets hit the toughest by recessions.

If first-time buyers wait until 2024 to buy and Bath property values drop by 10%, that will prove more expensive.

In the last 2008/09 crash, lenders weren’t offering 5% deposit mortgages. The lowest deposit mortgage that first-time buyers could get was with a 10% deposit and even then, they were hard to come by.

When writing this article, first-time buyers can obtain a 5% deposit mortgage for a fixed rate of 2.66% for five years.

The typical terraced house in Bath sells for £485,700.

So, if they were to buy now, on this mortgage deal, the first-time buyer would have to stump up a £24,285 deposit and their mortgage payments would be £1,689.37 per month.

Yet, let’s say property values in Bath do drop by 10% in the next 18 months, the terraced house would now be worth £437,130, so a significant saving. Or is it?

Everyone believes interest rates will rise further, so let’s assume they go to 3% by the autumn of 2023. That means the mortgage rate for a 10% deposit mortgage will be in the early 5%s, so let me assume 5.29% (because the banks tend to increase the gap between the base rate and the mortgage rate in recessions to allow for the extra risk).

The monthly mortgage payment on the 5.29% mortgage would be £2,058.88 per month, and you would need to nearly double your deposit to £43,713.

So even if Bath’s house prices did drop by 10%, the first-time buyer would be £4,430 worse off a year in mortgage payments and would have to find double the deposit.

… and then there is the other cost of waiting.

You have two years’ worth of rent to pay. The average rent for a Bath property is £1,636 per month.

If you waited a couple of years for Bath house prices to drop by 10%, you would spend £39,264 in rent.

Choosing to buy a Bath property makes even more economic sense if it is a long-term choice, as homeowners can ride out any house price drops.

Homeowners who plan to stay in a property can generally rely on getting their money back within six to ten years whilst not paying any rent.

Will Bath prices go up, or will they go down?

Remember, George Osbourne said house prices would drop by 18% in May 2016 if we voted to leave the EU, whilst many economists said they would drop by 5% to 10% when Covid hit in March 2020.

And we all know what happened.

If you think you will be better off owning your own Bath home rather than renting one, don’t bother to wait for the suggested house price drop that may never happen. These are my thoughts, what are yours? Let me know in the comments.


Reside is an award-winning independent letting agent in Bath. Please get in touch if you would like to discuss any aspect of letting or managing your property; we would love to hear from you.

Bath Rental Market Review: March 2022

Everything you need to know about the Bath rental market in March 2022.

Reside General Manager Toby Martin summarises rental activity over the last month, with the latest facts and figures from the local market.


Reside is an award-winning independent letting agent in Bath. Please get in touch if you would like to discuss any aspect of letting or managing your property; we would love to hear from you.

1 in 4 Bath Homeowners Unable To Sell

  • The average time to find a buyer for a Bath property reduced from 72 days in 2020 to 66 days in 2021.
  • Yet just over 1 in 4 Bath homeowners are still on the market after 12 weeks.
  • Why are so many Bath homes still on the market after all that time, and what does it mean for the Bath property market?

If you had been living in a cave since the end of Lockdown No. 1, you might have still heard that the property market has been on fire in Bath (and the UK as a whole) for the last 18/20 months.

It has been very much a seller’s market, especially in 2021. Yet as we enter the second quarter of 2022, I have noticed a slight rebalancing of the Bath property market towards buyers, something that is good news for everyone (sellers and buyers) locally.

In 2020, it took on average 72 days from the average Bath property appearing on the property portals (i.e. Rightmove, Zoopla etc.) to the property going sold (STC).

Interestingly, Bath was bang on the national average of 72 days in 2020. Yet, last year, this was reduced to 66 days in Bath (51 days nationally).

Well, that was last year, and things have changed slightly since.

Of the properties for sale in Bath, 26.6% of houses have been on the market for more than 12 weeks.

That doesn’t sound a lot, yet that is an eternity in this market!

So, why are there so many properties on the market in Bath still for sale after all this time? It usually comes down to one thing… the practice of ‘overvaluing’.

So before I explain what overvaluing is, let me give you some background.

Many agents in 2021, were achieving top prices for Bath property with multiple offers becoming the standard. The property they were selling was only available to buy for days before the owner obtained multiple offers that were not only at a satisfactory level, but more than they ever dreamed likely.

Although this was great news for Bath homeowners, this caused fewer homes to come onto the market in the last six months in Bath, as people were afraid to put their home on the market without having a property to buy.

With fewer properties coming onto the market, some estate agents have become more and more desperate to get a larger slice of this smaller property market. It has seen an unwelcome side of the estate agency profession, the estate agency practice of ‘overvaluing’.

While ‘overvaluing’ is nothing new, the custom has been generally limited to a small number of estate agents. Yet now, it’s become more prevalent and creates uncountable distress and pressure for some Bath homeowners.

Many Bath homeowners want to sell quickly to get the property of their dreams. Yet, in many cases, when they do put their property on to the market, they don’t sell quickly enough because of this ‘overvaluing’ (even with the fantastic current property market conditions).

To give you an idea of the issue …

65.8% of Bath homes put on the market in the last 30 days have not sold.

There are hundreds of Bath families having their dreams dashed by ‘overvaluing’.

Therefore, let me look at exactly what overvaluing is, why it’s on the rise and most importantly, the harm overvaluing causes to homeowners like yourself.

You would think the most important thing in estate agency is all about finding the best buyer for your home, at the best price, who can make the move with the least amount of hassle.

To us it is, and to many other Bath estate agents, it is as well. Yet, to some agents, sales aren’t the essential objective. Instead, it is having a vigorous catalogue of properties to sell to generate more future leads.

Deprived of an endless number of new properties for sale, the enquiries estate agents receive will significantly drop, leaving them high and dry without any buyer (or seller) leads, the lifeblood of estate agents.

Therefore, some (not all) estate agents will feed on a homeowner’s appetite to get the highest possible price for their Bath home by giving them an over-inflated suggested asking price at which to market their property (i.e. ‘overvaluing’).

If one estate agent can get you an extra £30,000 for your Bath home, you will take it, won’t you?

The suggestion of pushing the asking price of your Bath home up by 10%, 15%, even 20% could be seen by many as a temptation too good to miss. Yet once you are on the market, the agent is trained to slowly get you to reduce your asking price over a lengthy sole agency agreement.

The problem is that the home of your dreams might have sold during the 3 months in which you have been reducing your price. Also, Which? reports in 2017 and 2019 proved you ended up getting less for your home when it did eventually sell (which means you lose money) and finally, the agents know homeowners perceive that it’s a hassle to swap agents (which it isn’t).

But estate agents only get paid when they sell the house; why do they overvalue?

Would it surprise you that some estate agency chains pay their staff a commission when they put the property on to the market, not when it sells? So, their team overinflate their suggested asking prices to get that commission.

Over the last 18 months, with the rising property market, there has undoubtedly been a valid reason for pushing the envelope on the asking price. Yet, if every house like yours is on the market or sold subject to contract at £300,000 to £320,000, yours isn’t going to achieve £355,000, let alone £375,000 – even in this market.

With 65.8% of Bath homes still for sale after a month, the market is starting to level out and if you are keen to sell, then let me give you some advice.

Beware the same practice from lettings agents

Nearly everything I’ve written in this article similarly applies to getting your property valued by a lettings agent. Many agencies secure instructions by quoting a high rental figure and tying their client into a lengthy sole agency period.

A couple of weeks later, the landlord will receive a phone call from their agent, saying that they must ‘listen to the market’ and reduce the advertised rent.

The landlord will eventually find their tenant, but weeks later than they should have done, and with an agency that was prepared to secure their business by deliberately overpricing.

Research has shown that if the asking price is initially set too high, it will be ignored by people surfing Rightmove and Zoopla.

(Come on, be honest – you have done that yourself haven’t you?)

When the property is eventually reduced because it has the stigma of being on the property market too long (begging the question from potential buyers or tenants that there may be a problem with the property itself hence no interest?), often when it does eventually let or sell, the owner will achieve less than it would have done if it were priced correctly from day one (as per the two reports from Which? in 2017 and 2019).

Of course, on the other hand, setting the asking price below its market value means potentially leaving money on the table needlessly – hence the need for a good agent.

Putting your Bath home or buy-to-let investment on the market at the right price from the beginning is the key to selling within the best time frame and for the best price to a serious and motivated buyer / tenant.

Ask a handful of estate agents to value your home, ask them to back up any valuation of your Bath home with cold hard comparables of similar properties to yours – ideally, properties that have actually sold, rather than ones that are languishing on the market at a high asking price.

Find your own comparables by searching ALL the property portals (i.e. Rightmove, Zoopla, Boomin, OnTheMarket).

If you only take away one thing from this article, when you search the portals for comparables, make sure you include under offer/sold STC properties, as that will triple the comparable evidence.

Thus, by doing your homework and then working with a dependable, trustworthy and experienced estate agent, who will help to ensure that your Bath property is put on the market to get you, the homeowner, the best price from day one without overcooking it so you don’t lose out, you will be just fine.

These are my thoughts, let me know if you have any yourself.


Reside is an award-winning independent letting agent in Bath. Please get in touch if you would like to discuss any aspect of letting or managing your property; we would love to hear from you.

How Will Rising Inflation Affect the Bath Property Market in 2022?

The UK is currently experiencing its highest inflation rate since the early 1990s. This increase in prices has primarily come about by the combination of an increase in demand for goods and services from consumers following lockdown last year together with global supply chain disruptions.

Most economists weren’t too concerned about this increase in the inflation rate as the very same thing happened in the early 1990s following the Credit Crunch with a similar rise in demand and supply chain issues. Thankfully, back in the early 1990s, inflation returned to lower levels quite quickly. However, the situation in Eastern Europe now could change matters.

So, let’s look at all the factors and what it means for the Bath property market.

The crisis in Eastern Europe has sparked even further rises in crude oil (which diesel and petrol are made from), gas and grain prices as pressure on supply chains around the world increases.

In my previous articles, I suggested UK inflation would rise to around 7% in the spring and drop back to 5% in the autumn and as we entered 2023, be approximately 3% to 4%.

Yet, with these issues, inflation could rise to 8% to 9% by late spring and still be around 6% to 7% in autumn, well above the Bank of England’s target of 2%.

With Bath wages rising at only 3% to 4% and inflation at 7%+, Bath household incomes, in real terms, will fall.

This is because ‘real’ UK household incomes characteristically have been the most consistent lead indicator of growth (or a drop) in house prices. This is because growing inflation erodes the value of money you earn, which reduces its buying power. When the cash in your pocket has a lower spending power, people tend to spend less when they buy or rent a home (and vice versa).

Next month, Income Tax thresholds will be frozen, and National Insurance contributions are increasing. Collectively, all these issues will create a drop of around 2% to 2.5% in the real disposable income of Britain’s households in 2022 (real disposable income – i.e. somebody’s take-home wages after tax and the effects of inflation are considered).

Will Bathonians be more anxious about spending their money?

With less money in people’s pockets, their inclination to spend the money they do have could also be curtailed. Whilst savings are at an all-time high, many will decide to sit on the cash instead of spending it, especially as consumer confidence has dropped to minus 26 on the GfK index (whatever that means! But in all seriousness… more on that below).

All this can only mean… there is going to be a house price crash.

It’s all doom and gloom! …or is it?

My heart goes out to people caught up in the awful humanitarian crisis in Eastern Europe. For the purposes of this article, however, I need to respectfully put that to one side for just a moment.

This blog is about the Bath property market, and Bathonians want to know what will happen to the Bath property market.

In the first half of the article, I looked at the impending 2 to 2.5% fall in real disposable incomes during 2022. I appreciate it’s going to be tough for many families in Bath. Yet, it is always important to consider what has happened in times gone by:

1982 – a drop of 2.3% in real disposable income
1992 – a drop of 3.7% in real disposable income
2008 – a drop of 5.8% in real disposable income

Yes, it’s going to be tough, but we got through 1982, 1992 and 2008 – and so we shall in 2022/23.

Next: the price of petrol is very high compared to a year ago.

The average price of unleaded petrol is £1.51/litre today, quite a jump from the £1.21/litre a year ago. But here is an interesting fact, petrol was a lot more expensive (in real terms) in 2011 than today. In TODAY’s money, a litre of unleaded petrol in 2011 would be the equivalent of £1.79/litre. We have some way to go before we get to those levels – and again, the Bath economy (and property market) kicked on quite nicely after 2011.

What are Bath people spending on their rent and mortgages?

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In 2015, owner occupiers were spending on average 17.3% of their household income on mortgages, yet in 2021 this had risen, albeit to 17.7% – not a huge increase.

Council (social) tenants have seen a drop in their rent from 29.2% of their household income in 2015 to 26.7% in 2021, whilst for private tenants it has dropped from from 36.4% in 2015 to 31.2% in 2021.

Interestingly, private tenants are proportionally 14.29% better off in 2021 than in 2015.

The average UK home spent 4.2% of their household income on energy in 2021, and that is due to rise to 6.3% after April (and probably 7% in October). Yet, as a country, we spend 9% of our income on restaurants and hotels and 8% on recreation and culture. As with all aspects of life, it will mean choices, and maybe we will have to forego some luxuries.

Just before I move on from this aspect of the article, again I appreciate I am talking in averages. Many people with low incomes suffer from fuel poverty and they will find the increases in energy prices hard.

Higher inflation is generally brought under control using higher interest rates, meaning mortgage payments will be higher.

79% of homeowners with a mortgage are on a fixed rate, so any rise won’t be instantaneous. But there will be a bizarre side effect from the issues in Eastern Europe. Surprisingly, though the current situation in Eastern Europe by its very nature will bring greater UK inflation, it will also probably defer the Bank of England raising interest rates. This means mortgage rates won’t increase as much, as the bank won’t want to exacerbate any pressures to the UK economy in 2023/24 caused by the conflict.

The stock market had priced an interest rate rise to 2% by the end of 2022. I suspect this will now be no more than 1% to 1.25% by Christmas, slowly going up in quarters of one per cent every few months. The crisis in Eastern Europe might even come to be seen as a defence for higher inflation throughout 2022, all meaning everyone’s mortgage increases will be marginal for now.

Next, let’s look at Consumer Confidence Indexes – these indexes are fickle things. I prefer to look at the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development Consumer Confidence Index as it has a larger sample range and a longer time frame to compare against. Looking at the data from the mid 1970s, the drop in consumer confidence is big, yet nothing like the drops seen in the Oil Crisis of the mid 1970s, Recession of the early 1980s, ERM crisis of 1992 and the Global Financial Crisis of 2008/09. Also, when compared to the other main economies of the world (G7), the UK has always bounced back much more quickly from recessions when it comes to consumer confidence.

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What about house prices in Bath in 2022/23?

Increasing energy prices, rising inflation, an increase of sanctions, and a probable drop in consumer confidence and spending in the aftermath of the conflict will knock the post-pandemic recovery globally, which will lead to a recession around the world, including the UK.

A recession is when a country’s GDP drops in two consecutive quarters. For the last 300 years, there has been a direct link between British house prices and GDP (i.e. when GDP drops, UK house prices fall). Yet in 2020, the British GDP dropped by nearly 12%, but house prices went the other way.

Let’s look at what would happen if Bath house prices did drop by the same extent they did in the Global Financial Crisis of 2008/09.

House prices in Bath dropped by 17.2% in the Global Financial Crisis, the biggest drop in house prices over 16 months ever recorded in the UK.

The average value of a property in Bath and North East Somerset today is £399,981.

Meaning that if Bath’s house prices dropped by the same percentage in the next 16 months, an average home locally would only be worth £331,184.

On the face of it, not good… until you realise that it would only take us back to Bath house prices being achieved in February 2020 – and nobody was complaining about those.

Yes, that means if they do drop in price, the 5.7% of Bath homeowners who moved home since February 2020 would lose out if they sold after that price crash. But how many people move home after only being in their home for a few years? Not many!

The simple fact is that 94.3% of Bath homeowners will still be better off when they move if house prices crash.

And all this assumes there will be a crash.

The circumstances of 2009 that caused the property crash are entirely different to 2022 (no lending by the banks, higher interest rates and increasing unemployment compared to today’s increased lending, ultra-low interest rates and low unemployment).

I do believe with all that’s happening in the world we might see a rebalancing of the Bath property market later in 2022, and could see the odd month with little negative growth in house prices… But it will be nothing like 2009.

The expected fall in household spending could be counterbalanced by UK businesses’ plans to invest more in their businesses (with last year’s tax breaks on investing), which will create even more jobs.

Who knows what the future holds? These are just my opinions – what are yours?


Reside is an award-winning independent letting agent in Bath. Please get in touch if you would like to discuss any aspect of letting or managing your property; we would love to hear from you.